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Over half of Americans predict Obama to winre-election: poll
路透社10月30日公布的最新民意测验结果表明，在接受采访的登记选民中，54%的人认为奥巴马会赢得11月6日的大选，而认为罗姆尼会赢得大选的比例仅为34%。在提前投票的选民中，约有55%的人声称已投票给奥巴马，而声称投票给罗姆尼的比例则为40%。
尽管如此，美国媒体还是普遍认为，现在就判断谁能当选美国总统还为时过早。直到大选投票的前一天，形势随时都可能发生变化。
More than half of Americans believed U.S. President Barack Obama will win re-election while over athird saw Republican challenger Mitt Romney more like a winner, according to a latest Gallup pollreleased on Wednesday.
The poll was conducted between Oct. 27 and 28 before Superstorm Sandy hit the East Coast. Thepoll found that 54 percent and 34 percent of Americans thought Obama and Romney will win the 2012 presidential election respectively. The views are roughly similar to findings of previous Galluppolls in May and August, although slightly more Americans now had no opinion about who will winthe close race.
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Democrats are relatively more confident in their party's nominee, with 86 percent predicting anObama victory. A total of 71 percent of Republicans predict Romney will win, while nearly a fifth ofRepublicans see their candidate losing to Obama. Independents predict Obama to win by 52 percent to 32 percent.
The findings in such a close race may be the result of Obama's status as the incumbent andreflects a somewhat lower level of confidence among Republicans that their candidate will win, wrote Gallup's analyst Andrew Dugan and editor-in-chief Frank Newport in their analysis.
The incumbents usually have a natural advantage in public opinion as a probable winner in a re-election bid, which had been echoed by findings of Gallup polls in 2004 and 1996. |
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发表于 2016-7-11 09:55:34