叙利亚局势危急黎巴嫩(2/2)

英语自学网

叙利亚危机加上根深蒂固的宗教仇恨使得黎巴嫩也面临内战的危险。
Hints:
Innocent
Iran
Lebanon/Lebanese
Hezbollah
Assad
Sunni
Alawite
Paul Salem
Carnegie Endowment's Middle East Center
Beirut
Syria
Najib Mikati
Tripoli
组长：蓝色三叶草
校对：阿焰
翻译&注释：akriasusu
答疑：betty0925Innocent says violence on both sides of the border may undermine Iran's ability to resupply its Lebanese proxy, Hezbollah.
"The Assad regime does remain pivotal for Iran's continued support to Hezbollah. So if Assad goes, you really see a sort of a pillar of support for Iran plummet."
Lebanese security forces have tried to separate Sunni and Alawite rivals. Paul Salem directs the Carnegie Endowment's Middle East Center in Beirut. He says that while the violence is likely to continue in the north, it may not spread elsewhere in Lebanon.
"I think it will remain within these limits of, you know, escalation then calming down, escalation and calming down, for the foreseeable future. But it certainly is one of the indications of the inter-connectedness between the crisis in Syria and situation in Lebanon."
Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati is working with local religious leaders and lawmakers in Tripoli to stop the fighting after 15 people died in similar sectarian violence in June. But some Lebanese say he's not doing enough.因诺森特声称，两国同时发生暴力行为会削弱伊朗对其在黎巴嫩的代理方——真主党的补给能力。
“伊朗能够持续支持真主党，阿萨德政权起到关键性的作用。所以如果阿萨德下台，实际上相当于伊朗的支柱轰然倒塌”
黎巴嫩武装力量设法对逊尼派和阿拉维派实行隔离。保罗•塞勒姆是卡内基国际和平基金会中东中心主任。他表示这两大教派间的暴力冲突可能会在北部地区持续，但不会扩散到黎巴嫩其他地区。
“我认为，在可预见的未来，该暴力冲突将局限在’恶化-平息，再恶化-再平息’这种模式内，如此循环往复。但这无疑是叙利亚危机和黎巴嫩局势联动的迹象之一。”
6月份爆发过类似的逊尼派和阿拉维派之间的暴力冲突，当时导致15人丧生。此后，黎巴嫩总理纳吉布•米卡提一直在与地方宗教领袖和立法委员协力制止冲突，但部分黎巴嫩人民认为他做的还不够。