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概述:共和党竞选人都在鼓吹自己能令美国经济好转,但来自一个无党派委员会的研究表明事实并非如此。
Hints:
CRFB
Maya MacGuineas
Gingrich
Ron Paul
Federal Reserve
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Congressional Budget Office
Alice Rivlin
U.S. Budget Watch
Obama
percent写成%
校对&翻译:jessie319
组长&答疑:西碧儿的琴Instead of stabilizing the debt, CRFB President Maya MacGuineas says Republican campaign platforms would add to it, some more than others. "Under Gingrich's proposals, the debt would increase by $7 trillion compared to that amount and the debt levels would reach 114% of GDP.
"The study, based on specific candidate proposals, shows Congressman Ron Paul's policies would reduce debt by 2.2 trillion. But the study says Paul's plan offsets proposed tax cuts by eliminating prominent government agencies, including the Federal Reserve. Mitt Romney's blueprint would add $250 billion to the debt, while Rick Santorum's tax cuts would add 4.5 trillion.
Analysts say the accounting problem stems from Republican aversion to new taxes. Former Congressional Budget Office Director Alice Rivlin says the analysis shows a more balanced approach is needed. "I think it is totally unrealistic that we can stabilize the debt over the long term without both increases in revenues and reductions in entitlements."
U.S. Budget Watch expects Republican candidates will dispute the group's findings. But the group welcomes a dialogue if it brings more transparency and compromise. The group says it plans to release a separate analysis of President Obama's economic agenda.美国尽责联邦预算委员主席玛雅•麦克金尼斯认为共和党的政治运动不仅不会稳定债务,与其他因素相比,反而会增加债务。她说:“在金里奇的建议中,债务将在原基础上增加7万亿,债务水平将达到GDP的114%。”
这项基于特定选举候选人政治纲领的研究显示国会议员罗恩•保罗的政策将减少2.2万亿的债务,但他同时提出取消包括美联储在内的主要政府机构,于此减少的税收与其减少的债务相抵。罗姆尼的政治蓝图中将增加2500亿美元债务,而里克•圣多伦提出的减税将增加4.5万亿的债务。
分析家认为预算问题源于共和党人对加税的反感。前国会预算办公室主任爱丽丝•里夫林认为该分析显示美国需要一种更为平衡的预算方法。“我想我们如果在不增加国家税收和不减少津贴的基础上实现债务长期稳定是完全不现实的。”
美国预算观察项目小组希望共和党候选人对该小组的研究结果提出质疑。但该小组同样欢迎能带来更多透明度和互让的对话。同时,该小组计划发表针对总统奥巴马经济议程的独立分析。 |
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