粮价上涨的担忧有望缓解(2/2)

英语自学网

概述：减产预期逐步缓和，粮食价格保持稳定
Hints:
Gary Eilerts
United States Agency for International Development
Famine Early Warning System
Lourdes Adriano
Asian Development Bank
ps：49-50秒处有一个冒号
校对： 静xing
翻译&注解： vincit
组长： vincit
答疑： mly123sm
发音点评： steelver
本期材料发音模仿地址：http://bulo.hujiang.com/menu/11885/item/656120/She says there will be ups and downs in prices until production meets the level of demand. Still, many experts do not expect a repeat of the crisis of 2007 and 2008. Prices jumped, playing a part in civil unrest in several countries.
For one thing, these experts point out that energy prices are lower now. That means producing and transporting food is not as costly. And Gary Eilerts at the United States Agency for International Development says this year's bad weather has not affected another important crop: rice. Mr. Eilerts is head of the agency's Famine Early Warning System.
"Rice is very calm, very nice. The prices are not volatile. There's a large supply. And so, our countries that depend on that, that were hurt a great deal in 2008, are not being touched right now."
However, economist Lourdes Adriano at the Asian Development Bank says prices could increase if India stops exporting rice because of a drought.
Prices jumped when India banned rice exports in 2008 during the food inflation crisis.她认为，粮价会上下波动，直到产量满足需求为止。尽管如此，很多专家都预计2007年和2008年的危机并不会重演。当时粮价大幅增长，导致了一些国家内乱。
一方面，这些专家指出，能源价格目前较低。这就意味着生产和运输食品的成本不会太高。另外，美国国际开发署的加里·埃勒说，今年的恶劣气候并没有影响到另一种重要作物：大米。埃勒先生是开发署饥荒预警系统的负责人。
“大米价格非常平稳、非常不错，各地价格都很稳定，供应量充足。因此，那些在2008年被重创的依赖大米的国家，目前没有受到影响。”
然而，亚洲开发银行的经济学家卢尔德·阿德里亚诺认为，如果印度由于干旱原因停止大米出口的话，大米价格将会上涨。
2008年食品通胀危机期间，印度曾禁止出口大米导致大米价格暴涨。