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Justin Yifu Lin
Chief Economist
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Justin Yifu Lin, Chief Economist at the World Bank, warns that no one will be spared should an escalation of the crisis occur.
"If the downside risk occurred, because no matter if it's in the developed countries or developing countries, their fiscal space is much smaller than the situation in 2008. So, if the downside risk occurred, the downturn is like to be longer and deeper than the last one."
Lin advises developing economies to review their fiscal space, identify new drivers of growth and conduct stress tests on their domestic banking sectors to prepare for the economic downturn.
The World Bank has lowered its forecast for the eurozone area to a contraction of 0.3 %compared with a previous estimate of a 1.8% gain.
As the EU heads for a recession, the outlook for China, however, is much more optimistic than the global outlook. The World Bank predicts that China's economic growth will slow to 8.4 % this year, the same as an interim revised projection released in November.
The World Bank report suggests that the fallout experienced by emerging economies can be mitigated by contingency measures. But if the trend persists, fundamental economic restructuring may be necessary to ensure continued growth in developing economies. |