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如何让停滞的印度经济走出困境。
Hints:
Raghuram Rajan
Chicago Booth University
Wincott Foundation
主持:shenyubin
校对:cryforwhat
翻译&注解:cjsfight
答疑:赤_月
口语点评:Mornight
口语节目链接:http://bulo.hujiang.com/menu/2120/item/710883/This year, India's formerly red-hot economy has lost some steam. Since this summer, the Indian economy has been growing at less than half the speed it's achieved on average in recent years. Its troubles were highlighted earlier this year by the worst power cuts in modern history and by a steady string of corruption scandals - the latest involving the allocation of licences for mining coal. In recent months, the government responded with reforms designed to open up the economy. A law passed earlier this month will allow foreign retailers to take majority stakes for the first time in joint ventures with Indian companies. It came after two years of opposition from legions of small shopkeepers. I've been talking to Raghuram Rajan, now chief economic advisor to the Indian government and also professor at Chicago Booth University. He was in London to deliver the Wincott Foundation memorial lecture. I asked him how India can get its economy moving again.
"Growth has fallen off since the crisis. We sort of reached 9, 10% post crisis but has come down to five. How to jump-start that growth again and get it back up is clearly a very big issue the government is tackling. There're fairly straightforward ways of jump-starting it, I mean, there're a number of projects that are stalled, get them going. Also there are investments that could be made, the public sector firms are sitting on lots and lots of cash. It could deploy them faster, in making investments."印度一度高涨的经济发展在今年有些疲软。入夏以来,印度经济的增长速度不及近年来平均数的一半。今年早些时候,其经济问题主要表现为近代以来最严重的停电事故以及一系列腐败丑闻,最近一出涉及煤矿开发许可证的分配。近几个月,政府通过改革志在开放经济发展。本月初刚刚颁布的一项法律将首次允许外国零售商在与印度公司合资办企业中持多数股权,尽管此项法律在之前的两年里遭到大批小店主们的反对。我正在访问目前任印度政府首席经济顾问同时还是芝加哥布斯商学院教授的瑞詹。此前他在伦敦为温考特基金会致纪念演说。我问他印度如何再次使经济运转起来。
“经济危机之后印度经济增长就开始下降。我们在危机后曾一度达到9%-10%的增长率,但一路下滑到5%。如何再次使经济回暖,保持曾经的高增长显然是目前政府需要处理的一项重大问题。当然有些可以迅速启动经济的方案,我是说,开动一些停滞的项目。同时还可以实现投资,国营部门坐拥大量现金,他们可以将其投入到项目中,获得回报。” |