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简介：Natural gas is much cleaner than coal. But some energy analysts say an overabundance of the fuel could depress development in even cleaner energy sources like wind and solar power. Above, a rig in Washington, Pa., drills into shale rock to extract natural gas.
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Denise Bode
American Wind Energy Association
Energy Information Administration
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You better be thinking about a landing of the bridge at the other end. If you forget to have a landing at the other end, then it's just a bridge to nowhere.
In the short run, at least, the wind industry isn't too worried about this. Denise Bode heads the American Wind Energy Association. She says low gas prices don't undercut current prices for wind because those are mostly fixed by long-term deals.
We really focus on getting our money out of a 20-year contract. It's not really based on a market price.
And even if wind is a bit more expensive than natural gas, she says utilities still want it in their mix. Windmills aren't subject to changing fuel prices, so the cost to production is quite predictable. That's not true for natural gas. There's no guarantee that today's cheap prices will stay as low as some predict.
It's very difficult to really know how certain that is. And so you always want to balance it with something that is certain.
What really worries Bode isn't natural gas, it's politics. Wind could lose a huge tax break at the end of this year, and that would have a much more dramatic effect than low natural gas prices.
The government's Energy Information Administration, the EIA, predicts a precipitous drop in construction of new wind farms unless the federal production tax credit is renewed.
You'll see very low numbers. In fact, EIA, I think, projects almost zero for 2013. | 
发表于 2016-8-2 11:01:56