越狱豪斯格蕾，今秋哪些美剧可能被砍？
tvbythenumbers更新了08年秋季最有可能被取消以及最不可能被取消剧集的表单。来看看有没有你在追的剧集，以便做好思想准备哟~~美剧片名
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近期可能会被取消的剧集
DO NOT DISTURB 请勿打扰(已取消)
FOX
BOSTON LEGAL 波士顿法律(最终季)
ABC
TIL DEATH 至死不渝
FOX
NEW ADVS OF OLD CHRISTINE 俏妈新上路
CBS
LIPSTICK JUNGLE 口红森林
NBC
KNIGHT RIDER 霹雳游侠
NBC
TERMINATOR: SARAH CONNOR CHRONICLES 终结者外传
FOX
GARY UNMARRIED 加力离婚记
CBS
MY NAME IS EARL 愚人善事
NBC
PRIVILEGED 调教浪荡富家女
CW
PRISON BREAK 越狱
FOX
THE UNIT 秘密行动组
CBS
有被取消可能的剧集
COLD CASE 铁证悬案
CBS
UGLY BETTY 丑女贝蒂
ABC
WITHOUT A TRACE 寻人密探组
CBS
近期都没可能被取消的剧集
E.R. (final season) 急症室的春天
NBC
BONES 识骨寻踪
FOX
AMERICAN DAD 美国老爸
FOX
KING OF THE HILL 一家之主
FOX
LAW AND ORDER:SVU 法律与秩序：特殊受害者
NBC
THE MENTALIST 超感神探
CBS
THE BIG BANG THEORY 大爆炸理论
CBS
NCIS 海军罪案调查处
CBS
SUPERNATURAL 邪恶力量
CW
BROTHERS & SISTERS 兄弟姐妹
ABC
WORST WEEK 女婿要进门
CBS
CSI: NY 罪案现场调查纽约篇
CBS
ONE TREE HILL 篮球兄弟
CW
HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER 老爸老妈浪漫史
CBS
FRINGE 危机边缘
FOX
GOSSIP GIRL 绯闻女孩
CW
SMALLVILLE 超人前传
CW
OFFICE 办公室
NBC
FAMILY GUY 恶搞之家
FOX
SIMPSONS 辛普森一家
FOX
HEROES 超能英雄
NBC
CRIMINAL MINDS 犯罪心理
CBS
90210 新飞跃比佛利
CW
CSI: MIAMI 罪案现场调查迈阿密篇
CBS
TWO AND A HALF MEN 好汉两个半
CBS
HOUSE 豪斯医生
FOX
DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES 绝望主妇
ABC
GREY’S ANATOMY 实习医生格蕾
ABC
该表格的结果是由观看剧集的18岁-49岁人群数量，除以观看同年龄段收看剧集所在电视台节目的人群数量，从而得出比较参数。据前一播映季数据显示，92%是一个分水岭，高于此则处于安全区间，低于0.92则有被取消危险。
同时处于表格上端的剧集被取消的可能性更大，而底端的那些再更新的可能性比较大。
由此得出，《俏妈新上路》、《口红森林》、《霹雳游侠》、《终结者外传》、《加力离婚记》和《愚人善事》最有可能被取消；而《实习医生格蕾》、《绝望主妇》、《豪斯医生》、《好汉两个半》、《罪案现场调查迈阿密篇》、《新飞跃比佛利》、《犯罪心理》、《超能英雄》、《辛普森一家》和《恶搞之家》生命力依然旺盛，最有可能还有新季。
Our Renew/Cancel Index finds that Boston Legal (Edit: Alert commenter Jason reminds me that this was already slated to be BL’s final season, good thing!) and ‘Til Death are the scripted shows most likely to be cancelled in the new 2008-9 broadcast television season. In fact, Fox’s Do Not Disturb was the most likely to be cancelled, but Fox beat us to it and already cancelled the show. The other scripted shows in significant danger of being cancelled are The New Adventures of Old Christine, Lipstick Jungle, Knight Rider, Terminator: Sarah Connor Chronicles, Gary Unmarried, and My Name is Earl.
How did we come up with our list? We found that last season, the future of a show was nearly directly related to its adults 18-49 average viewers divided by its networks 18-49 average viewers. Many other factors may matter, but they all seemed to boil down to that one number. Last season, if a show had better than 92% of its network’s average 18-49 viewership (0.92 in our index) it was pretty safe, below that level it was in danger. We’re not sure what the magic number will be this season, but I’m very confident that our index will still indicate the shows most likely to be cancelled compared to those less likely to be cancelled.
Of course there are special circumstances, and this is only one week’s worth of network average data (although the show average data does include 2008-9 season airings prior to September 22), so I would expect substantial fluctuations in this list early in the season. I’m confident that the shows at the top of the list come the end of the season are likely to be cancelled as I am that the shows at the bottom of the list are likely to be renewed.
The current shows most likely to be renewed are: Grey’s Anatomy, Desperate Housewives, House, Two and A Half men, CSI: Miami, 90210, Criminal Minds, Heroes, Simpsons, and Family Guy.
Note: Only shows that have premiered during the 2008-9 broadcast season are on this list.
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