利比亚问题棘手 原油产出量堪忧(1/3)
石油输出国组织九月原油产量大幅下跌,业内人士分析由于战乱导致的伊拉克和利比亚原油产量下跌是主要原因。Hints:
OPEC
John Kingston
Platts
Iraq/Iraqi
Libya
Ghadafi
校对:Ranzzy
翻译&注解: 熔雪gemini
答疑&组长:betty0925
口语点评:Aralesuper
口语节目地址:http://bulo.hujiang.com/menu/11921/item/834921/
http://t1.g.hjfile.cn/listen/201310/201310160817186468940.mp3OPEC's crude oil production fell below 30 million barrels a day in September. That's the first time that's happened in more than two years.
There are two main reasons for the drop in OPEC production. John Kingston of Platts says one is a temporary problem, while the other is ongoing and may be more troublesome.
"The temporary reason is that there was significant maintenance at some of the Iraqi operations in that month and that's coming back. We would expect Iraq production to get back toward its normal level. The one that's been a lot more troubling, and it wasn't new to September, though it seemed to pick up pace in September, are all the problems going on in Libya."
Kingston is global director of news for Platts, a major provider of information about the energy, petrochemical, metals and agricultural sectors. He says Libya's crude oil production has fallen because of strikes and protests.
"After Ghadafi fell, the country's production came back a lot faster than a lot of people expected. You know, they were producing about 1.6 million barrels a day prior to the Ghadafi fall and then of course, you know, dropped down to like not much more than zero, and then climbed back smartly. But now these problems that have brought production down below half a million barrels a day, they are a little bit more intractable. And they're not the kind of things that get fixed overnight. So Libya is clearly an issue for the oil market."九月,欧佩克(即石油输出国组织)的原油产量下降,每日不足3千万桶。近两年多以来从未发生过这种情况。
欧佩克产量下降的主要原因有二。普氏能源资讯的约翰·金斯顿说其一只是个临时现象,其二则持续存在,而且可能更加棘手。
“临时现象为,一些伊拉克石油企业在该月进行了大规模修整,现正逐渐复苏。所以伊拉克产油量预计将恢复正常。相较之下,第二个问题要棘手得多。它早在九月前就存在了,但却在九月急剧恶化,它便是利比亚问题。”
金斯顿是普氏能源资讯的新闻总监。普氏能源资讯是一家报道能源、石化、金属、农业新闻的龙头企业。金斯顿说利比亚的原油产量之所以下降受到了罢工和抗议活动的影响。
“卡扎菲倒台后,利比亚产油量的恢复速度大大超出了众人的预料。倒台前其产油量是一天160万桶,然后几近零产出,之后又大幅回升。现在产油量降至每日不足50万桶,它的原因更加麻烦,不可能在一夜间得到解决。所以利比亚问题着实为石油市场带来了挑战。”
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