新一年美国情咨文发表 国内话题成焦点(2/2)
概述：专家认为，奥巴马将重新讨论有关阿拉伯世界剧变的问题。Hints:
Obama
Iraq
Osama bin Laden
Afghanistan
Anthony Cordesman
Center for Strategic and International Studies
John Sides
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口语节目地址：http://bulo.hujiang.com/menu/11921/item/731078/http://t1.g.hjfile.cn/listen/201302/201302110946109485625.mp3In last year's address, Mr. Obama marked the end of the U.S. combat role in Iraq and declared that Osama bin Laden was no longer a threat. This year he will likely again discuss Afghanistan and the timeline for withdrawing most U.S. combat forces by 2014.
Anthony Cordesman, at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, says the Arab world is likely to figure in Tuesday's speech. "He is certainly going to talk about the problems with the upheavals in the Arab world. And above the fact that it's obvious now this isn't a spring, it's probably a decade. And without really active U.S. diplomacy, without a mixture of United States economic and military aid, without a constant effort to sort of build up stability and more democratic regimes in the region, things are going to become a far more serious threat."
Mr. Obama will also need to send a message that Republicans and Democrats in Washington should cooperate more, says John Sides. "Then we might be starting to witness maybe a little bit of restoration of Americans' trust and faith in government in addition to their feelings about Obama himself."
Sides says Republicans are listening more carefully to voices within their Party that warn against endless confrontations with Mr. Obama.在去年的演讲中，奥巴马总统表明了美国在伊拉克停战，并公然宣布奥萨马•本•拉登已不再是威胁。今年，他很可能重新讨论阿富汗问题，以及到2014年撤回美国大部分军队的具体时间。
战略与国际研究中心的安东尼•考兹曼说，阿拉伯世界有可能出现在周二的演讲。“他可能会讨论有关阿拉伯世界剧变的问题。很显然基于事实来看，阿拉伯世界还未迎来春天，可能还需要十年。若没有积极的美国外交政策；没有美国经济军事援助；没有对于建立地区稳定和更加民主的政权的不懈努力，事情会成为更加严峻的威胁。”
约翰•塞德斯说，奥巴马总统还需要明示的是，华盛顿的共和党人与民主党人应该加强合作。“接下来我们可能会开始见证除了对于奥巴马本身的情感之外，更多的是美国人对于政府的信任和信心的一点点恢复。”
塞德斯说，共和党人更加仔细地听取来自党内的关于警告不要去与奥巴马总统相对抗的声音。
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