欧美愁云惨雾 全球凄风苦雨
戳图直达本期配套模仿跟读节目~欢迎参加~国际货币基金组织主席警告将裁减已经低迷的13年全球增长预报，并呼吁美国采取措施避免迫在眉睫的财政威胁。
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International Monetary Fund
Christine Lagarde
eurozone
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口语节目地址：http://bulo.hujiang.com/menu/2120/item/661577/http://t1.g.hjfile.cn/listen/201209/201209260730074689683.mp3The International Monetary Fund has warned that it's about to cut its already low global growth forecast for 2013. The head of the IMF Christine Lagarde warned of a two-pronged threat to the global economy, that of the eurozone and the looming so-called fiscal cliff in the United States. Unless a deal is struck by the 31st of December American tax breaks dating from the Bush presidency will be dropped and a series of draconian spending cuts imposed and many are afraid that a recession lies at the bottom of that fiscal cliff. The US, Ms Lagarde said, must act now to avoid it.
"The European Union and the eurozone, in particular, are not the only threats on the horizon. The United States is also currently a threat. And the immediate concern is that under the current law, there will be a dramatic tightening, equal to about 4% of GDP, that's what is commonly referred as the fiscal cliff. And that is good, you know, 4% cut in deficit. The problem, though, is that it entails a contraction of 2% of GDP and that is not good at all, especially if you consider that the forecast for growth of the United States is pretty much in the range of 2%. So that's erasing any growth and the United States will be the consequence of not dealing with the fiscal cliff and not dealing with the debt ceiling, which are both looming threats on the very short-term horizon."国际货币基金组织警告说将下调已然低迷的2013年全球经济增长预期。IMF主席拉加德警告说，全球经济目前面临双重威胁，即欧元区债务问题和美国步步逼近的“财政悬崖”危机。除非美国在12月31日前，敲定协议终止始于布什政府的减税措施，且实施严厉的支出削减措施，否则很多人担心财政悬崖的尽头将是经济萧条。拉加德女士说，美国必须赶快行动避免危机。
“欧盟和欧元区并非经济危机的唯一威胁，目前美国也是威胁因素。当下迫在眉睫的是，在现行法律下实行严厉的紧缩政策，数值相当于GDP的4%，而这一数值被普遍认为是财政悬崖。你知道，削减财政赤字的4%是不错的。问题是，这必然会导致GDP缩减2%，这样会很糟糕，尤其考虑到美国经济的增长预期范围大致就2%的样子。这将抹杀任何增长，美国将尝到不处理好财政悬崖和债务上限的苦果，这些都是在短期内步步迫近的威胁。”
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